How are Leave voters reacting to the Brexit deal?
Brexit Brexit, Brekshit.
If you are exhausted of how much this is dragging on, you are not alone. From the debacle about whether it was a ‘fair’ vote, to the debates on whether there should be a second referendum, you really can’t get enough of it. One of the hottest topics at the moment: Theresa May’s Brexit deal.
The 592-page document has been lambasted by its critics. A YouGov poll has revealed that 45% of people oppose it. A flurry of resignations have taken place since the revelation of the deal, but as MPs prepare to vote for or against the deal on 11th December, I’m wondering how Leavers themselves are reacting to it.
The deal entails access to the European single market, provisions to the custom territory for the EU, and allowing the UK to have an independent trade policy. This may be all good and great, but what does this mean for the people who voted Leave? Since they’re the ones who voted for this, are they actually getting what they want?
A big reason for people voting Leave was immigration. I.e., ‘they’re using up all our resources’ etc etc (If you’re waiting for me to mention the whole ‘they’re taking our jobs’ thing, you can keep waiting. I’ve heard it so many times that I am not going to mention it here). The Chequers deal ends free movement. This concern is taken care of, so we can add a tick there.
Another reason was the ‘vast annual payments’ being made to the EU, and how this money could be better used to fund the NHS or other social services. Leavers would be happy to know that these contributions will stop, and will be replaced by smaller ‘appropriate contributions’. What Leavers might not be happy with though, is that Brexit is costing the treasury £440million per week, and that cost is only growing. (So much for saving £350million per week to save the NHS, eh?) So I guess it’s safe to say, at least for the time being, we can add a cross here.
The third major reason was quite simply to ‘take back control’. The tagline for the Leave campaign was partly referring to ‘taking back’ the control of our legislative system, so that the UK can make its own laws rather than being overruled by EU law. The deal will involve using only parts of EU law after March, and will mean that Mrs May will be bringing back parliamentary sovereignty. Half a tick? Agree with me?
That’s just how I analyse it, but now, Imma let the numbers talk. The YouGov poll found that 27% of people support the deal, which isn’t much. But that doesn’t say anything about how many of those people are Leave voters, so let’s crunch the numbers a bit more.
Only 19% of Labour Leave voters support the deal, and 48% of them reject it. 42% of Conservative Leave voters said that they support the deal, and 39% said they don’t, but there are twice as many Conservative Leavers than Remainers. Uh oh, that’s not looking so good for Leavers. I guess we can conclude that Leavers aren’t reacting well to this deal.
But, surprise surprise! The most support for the deal actually came from Conservative Remain voters, with 52% of them being happy with the current deal and only 23% voting against it. Does that mean that the deal is actually better suited to Remainers? Apparently not. 59% of Labour Remainers voted against it, and so did 52% of Remainers supporting other parties. Sorry to burst your bubble.
What this does mean though, is that the country is as divided as can be, and tbh, it looks like there is never going to be a majority of people agreeing with any sort of Brexit deal. That’s just human nature, you can’t frickin’ please everyone (as cliché as that sounds), and unfortunately that’s gonna be the case with this deal, any other deal, or no deal if this one isn’t passed. As simplistic as it sounds, it probably is best to just ‘get on with it’, because there’s always gonna be people moaning about it and scaremongering (looking at you, Jeremy Corbyn). Will the MPs support this deal? Not too sure m8. Is there gonna be another referendum? I can’t give you a definite answer. But what I can offer you, is a seat right next to me while we sit back, relax, and watch this all unfold.